Florida State Seminoles

AP TOP 25 HEAT CHECK: How to value head-to-head victories?

The value of a head-to-head victory is about to become a prime topic of conversation.

For a good chunk of the college football season, AP Top 25 poll voters rank teams by leaning on head-to-head results. X beat Y so X should be ahead of Y. Simple. As the season goes on that strategy becomes more complicated.

Teams go in different directions. The September version of X might be very different from the November version. And it could turn out that Y just had a bad day. The College Football Playoff selection committee is about to be confronted with some of those tricky choices, where the winners of games played earlier in the season have seemingly been surpassed by teams they...