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Chris Duhon

How the NBA's Western Conference will be won

Manu Ginobili, Tim Duncan


1. San Antonio

2012-13 finish: 58-24.

Coming: Marco Belinelli, Jeff Pendergraph.

Going: Gary Neal, DeJuan Blair.

Before anyone asks the Spurs to appear en masse on the next episode of "Derek," Ricky Gervais' thoughtful look at retirement home living, let's assess a few benefits of being old and reliable: San Antonio has finished first-first-second in the West over the last three seasons. Plus, the Spurs aren't really all that old; Kawhi Leonard, the team's new No. 3 option, is barely out of his Nickelodeon Jr. stage.