Every Friday through the Oscars on March 2, 2014, Variety's awards editor Tim Gray offers a rundown of the warming trends and cold fronts in our weekly "Temperature Gauge," in addition to his latest projections in each of the major awards categories.

What's New This Week?

With "Frozen" opening over the Thanksgiving holiday next week, we take the temperature of toons that heating up and cooling off.

RISING: "Frozen" - All the classic Disney elements in a toon, and industry audiences are enthused.

FALLING: "The Wind Rises" - Miyazaki has a loyal fanbase, but the crossover potential seems iffy

STEADY: "Despicable Me 2" - The year's second biggest box office hit still evokes big grins from audiences.

Here's Variety's first list of possible Oscar nominations, with the frontrunners listed first.

BEST PICTURE

  • Gravity
  • 12 Years a Slave
  • Nebraska
  • August: Osage County
  • Dallas Buyers Club
  • Saving Mr. Banks
  • Lone Survivor
  • Philomena
  • Captain Phillips
  • Her
DIRECTOR

ACTOR

ACTRESS

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

  • Dallas Buyers Club
  • Nebraska
  • Saving Mr. Banks
  • Enough Said
  • All is Lost
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

  • 12 Years a Slave
  • August: Osage County
  • Philomena
  • Captain Phillips
  • Before Midnight
2013 Variety Media, LLC, a subsidiary of Penske Business Media; Distributed by Tribune Content Agency, LLC