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Hurricanes and Tropical Storms

Erika's wild ride shows difficulty of hurricane forecasting

Erika's wild ride shows difficulty of hurricane forecasting

Erika's path was all over the forecast map: Was it going to hit near Miami as a hurricane, barrel up the spine of the state or take aim at the west coast of Florida? In the end, Erika never hit Florida at all. It simply fell apart Saturday near eastern Cuba, after triggering mud slides and killing dozens of people in the Dominican Republic. The wildly changing forecasts frustrated some Floridians who didn't know whether they should buy supplies or ignore the warnings. But officials said that is the challenge of predicting a storm's path. "We tried to message the uncertainty and explain that this was a very difficult forecast," said James Franklin of the...

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