Once again, the National Hurricane Center again broke forecast track accuracy records during the tumultuous 2012 storm season.
While issuing 444 advisories for the likes of Hurricanes Isaac and Sandy, the center set track prediction records for every forecast period except for the longest one, which predicts what a storm will do over the next five days.
Here are the average errors:
For the 12-hour period: 28 miles, down from 32 miles last year.
For the 24-hour period: 45 miles, down from 50 miles.
For the 48-hour period: 79 miles, down from 90 miles.
For the 72-hour period: 115 miles, down from 126 miles.
For the 120-hour period: 223 miles, down from 281.
Forecasters also improved intensity predictions for each of the forecast periods.
One reason for that: “The season’s storms were easier to forecast than normal,” said James Franklin, the hurricane center’s top hurricane specialist.Copyright © 2015, CT Now