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Jeff Samardzija (Chicago Cubs)

WHAT WE SAID: 200-plus innings pitched, 15 wins and a sub-3.50 ERA? Sounds about right, even if it won't help the Cubs win more than 70 games. NOW WE KNOW: Not only did the Cubs fail to win even 70 games (they ended up with 66), but Samardzija's ERA jumped to 4.34, and he had one fewer victory despite starting five more games than in 2012. VERDICT: MissMcClatchy/Tribune