'The Great Gatsby'

"The Great Gatsby" is expected receive Oscar nominations in the production design, costume design and song categories. (Warner Bros. Pictures)

Analysis: Peter Jackson's Tolkien movies have always been nominated, and the second "Hobbit" movie shouldn't buck the trend. "12 Years" required both aging makeup and work that would convey the physical horrors of slavery. And "The Butler," with its long time span, had the aging demands as well as the challenge of making John Cusack look a little like Richard Nixon.



"12 Years a Slave"

"Saving Mr. Banks"

"The Book Thief"


Bubbling under: "Rush," "Captain Phillips," "Monsters University," "Her," "Frozen"

Analysis: This could be a big year for Hans Zimmer, who provided distinctive scores for both "12 Years" and "Rush." And while "The Book Thief" didn't fare well with critics, composer John Williams probably will rate a 49th(!) nomination, and given its understated excellence, few will begrudge it.

INTERACTIVE: Best and worst Oscar moments since 2008

Movie awards predictions: In the Dec. 10 Envelope section, the Gold Standard column about movie awards predictions referred to the U2 song in "Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom" as "Ordinary Day." The song's title is "Ordinary Love." —


"Let It Go" ("Frozen")

"Young and Beautiful" ("The Great Gatsby")

"In the Middle of the Night" ("Lee Daniels' The Butler")

"Ordinary Day" ("Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom")

"The Moon Song" ("Her")

Bubbling under: "You and I Ain't Nothin' No More" ("Lee Daniels' The Butler"), "Atlas" ("The Hunger Games: Catching Fire"), "Happy" ("Despicable Me 2"), "So You Know What It's Like" ("Short Term 12"), "Sweeter Than Fiction" ("One Chance"), "Amen" ("All Is Lost"), "I See Fire" ("The Hobbit: Desolation of Smaug"), "Rise Up" ("Epic")